Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Buffalo Bills 2015 Schedule

-Coast

As all of you know the 2015 Buffalo Bills schedule is as follows:

Week 1: Indy 1 PM
Week 2: NE 1 PM
Week 3: @Mia: 4:25 PM
Week 4: NYG 1 PM
Week 5: @Tenn 1 PM
Week 6: Cinci 1 PM
Week 7: @Jax 9:30 AM
Week 8: BYE
Week 9: Mia 1 PM
Week 10: @NYJ 8:25 PM (TNF)
Week 11: @NE 8:30 PM (MNF)
Week 12: @KC 1 PM
Week 13: Hou 1 PM
Week 14: @ Phil 1 PM
Week 15: @ Wash 1 PM
Week 16: DAL 1 PM
Week 17: NYJ 1 PM

Finally a Monday Night Football game…but of course it is a road game and at New England. Don’t worry though, it isn’t after the Patriots bye (though the Pats do have 10 days to prepare for the Bills in week 2).

The Bills are playing in their first Monday nighter since 2009 vs. the Patriots…and we all know how that game turned out. The Bills have not won a prime time (non TNF) game since 2000. The Bills have not won a road prime time game of any variety since…Lord knows. The Bills are playing back to back prime time roadies…first time 2 prime time games in one season since 2009. I don’t want to speculate as to the last time this team has won back to back road games let alone back to back road prime time games. So, while this looks fun on paper, it probably isn’t ideal for the win/loss record.

Overall, I have mixed emotions on the schedule. It doesn’t seem overly impossible. From week 3 to 10 the Bills only play one playoff team and that is a team led by Andy Dalton. The Bills also get to play Brady and Luck at home early in the season where the Bills tend to fare better.

On the contrary though, the Bills run into a gauntlet beginning in week 10 with that first Jets prime time road game. The Bills will play 5 road games in 6 weeks. Say what you will about the opponents, but at the end of the day this is the Bills and the Bills have not been good on the road in 20 years. What can we expect realistically out of this stretch of 6 games? 3-3 at best?

Looking at the schedule at this very moment, the Bills would be favored in 7 of the 16 games…Giants, at Titans, at Jags, Miami, at Jets, Houston, Jets. That is more than normal for this team.

Other quick thoughts…

-          3 straight NFC east games in December…strange. Though in the 25th anniversary of the Bills first super bowl appearance they will have the chance to avenge all of their super bowl losses.

-          Home January football game is guaranteed – first since 2004. The Bills play the Jets at home on 1/3.

-          9:30 AM kickoff in London will be sweet. 7 AM soccer game, then 9:30 football game, then the 1:00 games. Doesn't get any better.

-          No scheduled Sunday Night game EVER I don’t believe since Sunday Night Football became the game of the week...which shouldn't be surprising.

-          Road trip venues – Miami in September…would prefer that in December. At Eagles in December or at Washington in December could be fun though if either of those teams are in the hunt. Trips to NE or NYJ to watch a prime time game would be awesome though could also be risky...based on a really low win probability.

-          5 of 8 Bills home games in likely nice weather – good for ticket sales even if the team flops.

      Final prediction 12-4.




Monday, April 20, 2015

Grading the Bills Offseason

by Steve

Was Doug Marrone really the Bills coach just 4 months ago?  That seems like two seasons ago at this point damn.  The draft is next week, the schedule comes out this week and for now the offseason moves appear to be over.  So let's review and grade the Buffalo Bills 2015 offseason thus far:

Rex Ryan
I didn't want Doug Marrone to get fired after two seasons (mostly because starting over again seemed like the worse of two evils).  But since that asshat quit like a bitch and didn't have any backup plan, good riddance. Rex Ryan isn't some genius and he is at best an alright head coach but he is a star, has won 4 playoff games on the road with no quarterback and can create great defenses..  Maybe he is exactly what the Bills need..

Grade: B+


Charles Clay
Five years $38 mil for Charles freaking Clay?  The same tight end/h-back that played for the Dolphins last year and had only 58 catches and 3 TDs?  Did he really get more guaranteed money than Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham? Yes the Bills haven't had a good tight end in 15+ years and in turn made a division rival worse but the pursuit and the contract offered were an abomination.

Grade D


Percy Harvin
Basically a one year deal with the final 2 years voidable?  Ol' Percy will only be 27 and will theoretically be on his best behavior (you know actually listening to coaches, not punching out teammates etc).  He'll be motivated for a new contract with a strong season and is a freak athlete.  What's not to like?  The Bills had the cap space and the need.  The main question will be whether Greg Roman and co. are smart enough to figure out how the hell they can use Harvin's many talents.  I'm thinking a Randall Cobb esque slash that is in the back field, on the outside and on special teams.

Grade B+


Jerome Felton
Four years $9.2 mil seems like a nice contract for a fullback.  It screams Rex signing so I won't rip it.  Better yet I won't even grade it because the guy is a friggin fullback.

Grade N/A


Matt Cassel
The Bills needed a veteran quarterback if for nothing else but some camp fodder and Matt "Sam/Phil" Cassel fits that description.  Trading anything for this guy seems like an odd decision but the contract (1 year $5 mil left) is reasonable.  But let's face it this guy is a bum.   He flamed out in KC and did nothing in Minny.  If he beats out EJ Manuel that will be more of an indictment of Manuel than anything else. 

Grade C-


Tyrod Taylor
The guaranteed money is questionable but TT is an athletic freak with ok size at 6'1.  The odds he becomes a starting QB are remote but he is way better than Jeff Tuel for christ sake.  I'd even prefer he starts over Cassel.

Grade B-


Shady McCoy
The trade looks even worse for the Eagles after they gave big money to another running back but I still don't love it for the Bills.  Yes, McCoy is a star and has had some great seasons.  But what running back gets better with their 3rd and 4th contracts?  The answer is none.  If he stays healthy he'll be worth the money and the trading of Kiko Alonso.  But realistically how many really good seasons can we expect from a 27 year old going into his seventh season in the league? Three?  Four would be a major stretch but with a 5 year $40 million contract signed, four is what the Bills will need from Lesean.  Why not just keep Kiko and draft a RB in the second round?

Grade C+


Richie Incognito
One year contract at a need position for a dude that should be well rested and (again) motivated to play.  If it blows up and he sucks or is still a piece of shit then just cut him and find another guard.

Grade B+


Letting Da'Norris Searcy Walk
I liked Searcy.  He was a good player, a hard hitter and a mid round draft pick that blossomed into a good player.  Letting him leave because of some shortsightedness (I'm assuming that Searcy would have accepted an extension last year on the cheap) doesn't reflect well on Whaley.  Safety is an undervalued position and a position now of need for the Bills.  Duke Williams, really?

Grade C


Letting CJ Spiller Walk
Spiller was a bust the minute the Bills drafted him 9th overall.  This may have been the most furious I was after a draft pick since... well the last time the Bills drafted a running back in the first round.  He never lived up to the draft status of a top 10 pick even though he was seemingly on the precipice of greatness in perpetuity. 4 years $16 mil is ok but not a good idea for the Bills.

Grade B-


Overall, the Bills had a busy offseason full of spending and headline grabbing. Did they get better?  Maybe on paper but the QB situation is a disaster, everyone will not give two fucks what Rex says in press conferences in October when he punts from the Patriots 41 yard line on 4th and two.  The Bills max total wins is 11 but 8-8 is highly likely.  I just hope Doug Whaley doesn't trot out Sam Watkins next Thursday as the Bills first round pick this year.

Offseason total grade: C+

Thursday, April 9, 2015

Bobby Hurley Will be a Failure at ASU

By Steve

First of all Bobby Hurley is a piece of shit. I will take great joy in watching that loyalless money chasing loser fail miserably at Arizona St. No connection to players, didn't recruit jack shit at UB and he thinks he's ready to do anything in the Pac12? Lol.

Two years as a head coach with the state university of New York at Buffalo and he thinks he can compete with the likes of Sean Miller at Arizona or Steve Alford and UCLA? What a fuckin joke.

The guy barely wins the MAC and completely chokes in his only NCAA tournament appareance and packs his bag for a few extra bucks out west? What a loser.

The guy played UB from the start. Two seasons? He was a fuckin assistant at Rhode Island 23 months ago and he thinks his name recognition is enough to compete in one of the best conferences in basketball? He didn't give a shit about his players, the program or this area.

I never expected Hurley to stay long term especially if he had success. But 2 seasons and a 12 seed one and done in the tourney? What a fuckin joke.

Maybe AD Danny White deserves blame for saying they agreed to an extension a few weeks ago but christ. Hurley had the chance to build something in Buffalo. Is four or even three seasons too much to ask? Wasn't one of lil Bobby's positive traits loyalty? Apparently fuckin not. Carpet bagger wanna be.

Your welcome for the opportunity hope you have fun battling for a CIT bid next year and fired like every other loser ASU coach in 3 years. Fuck off.

Monday, April 6, 2015

2015 Win Totals: American League

By Steve

American League over under total wins

East

New York Yanks 82.5
Tough to take the under here so i wont. Tanaka ftw

Boston R Sox 86
Under, Han-ram is no man-ram

Tampa Rays 78.5
Line makes no sense. Under under under

Baltimore Orioles 87.5
Under but barely

Toronto BJs 83
Over, leggo!

Central
CHI Sox 82.5
I want to buy in but this division is tough. 81-81 aka under

Cleveland Indians 85
Over, Tito is a great manager

Kansas City Royals 80.5
No respect. Over

Detroit Tigers 84.5
Over seems obvious, but who cares. Over

Minnesota twins 72.5
Dont want to over react because of the Santana suspension but they're toast. Under

West
LA Angels 92.5
Under. They need a new manager

Houston Astros 76
Over, .500 is a possibility but tough division.

Oakland A's 82
Billy Beane is overrated but he's still better than most. Under.

Seattle Mariners 87.5
Show me first. Under

Texas Rangers 75.5
Under. Who is their manager? Or their ace?

2015 MLB Over Under Wins: National League

By Steve

That time of year again! MLB over under total wins! Lets start with the superior league... the National:

East

NY Mets 83.5
Im feeling lucky despite Wheeler gettin elbow cut. OVER

Washington Nats 94
Seems high so thebunder is the play but if this team doesn't win 90+ it would be surprising.

Atlanta Braves 74
Sell sell sell. Fire sale. Under. Ouch

Phila Phillies 66.5
Are they that bad? Give me 68 wins c'mon.

Miami Marlins 83
Not loving this squad but over it is.

Central
St L Cards 88.5
Seems like an 87 win team. Under (and prob a ring)

Chicago Cubs 82.5
I'll see the kool aid. Over

Milwaukee Brewcrew 78.5
Under, keep drinkin.

Pitt Pirates 85.5
This line is way low. Over

Cinci Reds 77.5
Rebuild in denial. Under

West
LA Dodgers 92.5
$ = wins. Over

SD Padres 84
Over, ill buy into this facade

Colorado Rockies 73.5
Not sure I know anyone, is Tulo still there? Under

SF Giants 83
Over albeit an off year based on their every other year pattern.

Arizona Dbacks 72
Push? Fur surrre

Friday, March 13, 2015

REACTION: Bills sign Percy Harvin

By Steve

A one year deal for Percy Harvin is palatable even if he is an asshole. The money is yet unknow but my guess is something like $3.5 million with incentives.

Ha per http://t.co/JXOZaOk4Qi Percy Harvin still counts 6.47 mil against the Jets cap this season after his 6 year $64 million deal with seattle 2 years ago. Thus I think he'll come some what cheap.

Granted Harvin hasn't produced much since then (20 starts and only 6 TDs in the last 3 seasons total) but thats he beauty of a 1 year deal.

This is a prove it contract clearly. He is only 26 and has already flamed out with THREE teams. So presumably he'll be on his best behavior in hopes of another big contract next year.

The way that the Bills will use Harvin is the most interesting aspect of this move. Im thinking Randell Cobb esque. He is an inch taller and at least as fast. Does Greg Roman have any idea what he's doing?

All in all im coming around on this move. Low risk high reward unless the Bills way over paid. The guy is a locker room cancer ALLEGEDLY but again should have incentive to stfu and be a good soldier. We'll see but lets hope this doesnt take away touches from Sam Watkins and instead augments his production by causing havoc over the middle.

Saturday, March 7, 2015

The Bills and Free Agency

By steve

Free agency in the NFL starts today errr last week err officially this Tuesday. The Bills have a lot of holes and something like $15 million to spend. Basically one big move or 3-4 medium sized moves. Wait, still with me?

Bills needs:
1. Tight end
2. Guard
3. Defensive end
4. Safety
5. Linebacker
6. Wide Receiver

The biggest question (besides why the hell would you TRADE for a shitty back up QB) is whether or not you resign Jerry Hughes. The answer is clear, maybe.

Will he take 5 years $44 million? He made his name in Buffalo after being cast off as a bust in a trade from Indy but this is his one BIG pay day. There is no reason for him to sign with the Bills before Tuesday. My guess is some team will over pay him. Oh well, find another DE for half the price and 70% of his production, isn't that why you have Rex Ryan?

The Bills should pursue one of the big free agent tightends. Julius Thomas might be a product of a great offense and will be expen$ive. But there are a few TEs right below him that will be worth pursuing. Will Jordan Cameron be cheap, Gresham might be a target.

No need to spend a lot of money on a guard like Mike Iupati. How did it work out for the Titans when they overpaid Andy Levitre? I can't tell you who to sign but only adding Incognito isn't satisfactory.

How about Derrick Morgan, Hakeem Nicks and Antrelle Rolle? I would have also went after Jake Locker instead of giving up anything just to trade for Matt Cassel but oh well.

This team needs some veterans that have won before. A cage cheap ol' vet or two will be worth it. Isnt Rex a players coach and a guy that players want to play for? We'll see.

Oh and not resigning Da'norris Searcy last season was a mistake. Now he's gonna get paid!