Friday, October 24, 2014

Bills at Jets - Season on the line


This whole week I have been afraid of this game vs. the Jets. I predicted a 23-13 Jets win. As the days go by, I am starting to wonder why I am afraid of the Jets? The only logical reason is that they are the Jets and we are the Bills and Rex Ryan owns us and we just cannot win in New York, or in any big game vs. this team. This is 2014 though and this Jets team is 1-6. They lost to the Lions and Bears at home, both teams the Bills defeated on the road. The Jets beat Oakland by 5 at home for their only win and lost 31-0 to San Diego. They have been simply awful and now that they have played 2 tough games in a row both of which they lost, they are the best 1-6 team ever. The Jets are the first team in the history of the league to be favored against a team with a winning record, which says about as much about the Bills as it does about the Jets.

The Bills are a Jay Cutler interception, Alex Henery missed field goals and Kyle Orton 4th and 20 away from being 1-6 themselves. How much is really separating this Bills team from the 1-6 Jets? The answer is...not much.

Offensively, the Bills rank 27th and the Jets 28th in points per game. The Bills are 22nd in the league in yards per game, the Jets 26th. Statistically speaking, both teams have been awful on offense (though with Orton in there, the Bills passing offense has been dramatically improved the last three games...running the ball is another story).

Defensively, the Bills have fared much better in points per game allowed (10th vs. 26th), but the Jets are actually allowing fewer yards per game (ranking 8th vs. the Bills 10th). The Jets defense is getting a pass for allowing so many points because they have faced such difficult competition this far. This is part of the reason why the media loves the Jets this week. They are 1-6 but have faced such great quarterbacks. They have faced Manning, Rodgers, Brady, Rivers, Cutler and Stafford. What people are not considering is that the Bills have faced 4 of those 6 players as well. The Bills have beaten Cutler and Stafford and faced Brady and Rivers. The Bills schedule hasn't exactly been a cake walk is all I am saying.

At the end of the day, these teams are even and given the history of this rivalry the past few years, it is hard to predict a Bills win. In 2008, the Bills were 5-1, lost to Miami and then came home to face off against Brett Favre and the Jets in the "biggest Bills game of the new millenium." The Jets wiped the floor with the Bills in what effectively ended their season. In 2011, the Bills were 5-2 and the Jets were in town with Rex Ryan for the "biggest Bills game of the new millenium." Rex Ryan owned the Bills and completely exposed Fitzpatrick and the offense and Ladainian Tomlinson flashed back to 2005 and ran all over the Bills defense. Those two games were the last two times the Bills faced the Jets with a winning record in which they were having legitimate playoff aspirations (ironically - both of those losses were the 8th game of the season as well). The Jets squashed them and anyone who really knew anything about the Bills knew those respective seasons were over.

The Bills have an opportunity Sunday to make a statement as the 2nd best team in the AFC East and the Patriots number 1 contender. In my opinion, the entire 2014 season rides on this Sunday's game. This is a must win if the Bills want to entertain any realistic playoff opportunities. The next 4 games are KC at home, at Miami, Jets at home and Cleveland at home. A loss vs. the Jets means the Bills absolutely must win the next 4 games (they will likely be dogs vs. KC and at Miami). And EVEN IF they do pull of 4 straights wins to get to 8-4, they will most likely need to win 2 of their last 4. GIving them a win vs. Oakland on the road means they have to win a game at Denver, vs. Green Bay or at New England. Is that really going to happen? Needless to say, a win vs. the Jets is a must but I need to stick to my original 23-13 prediction.

Go Bills!

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Bills at Jets Preview Podcast

The 4-3 Buffalo Bills travel to the 1-6 NY Jets and Steve and Coast take a gander

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Bills at Jets Preview Stats

by Steve

Another crucial divisional game this week for the Bills at Jets. Lets take a gander at some stats as we pass over hump day:

Bills +3 (-115) over/under 41

Bills Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 11th
Yards per Game: 22nd
Points per Game: 27th (19.3)
Turnovers: 15th (+1)
3rd Down %: 25th 37%
Passing Yards: 19th 230.1
Rushing Yards: 19th 103.4

Jets Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 3rd
Yards per Game:26th
Points per Game: 28th (17.3)
Turnovers: 32nd (-9)
3rd Down %: 18th 41%
Passing Yards: 31st 185.4
Rushing Yards: 7th 135

Bills Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 11th 328
Points Allowed Per Game: 8th 20.3
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 4th 80.4
Passing Allowed Per Game: 20th 247.6
Sacks: 1st 24
Total Turnovers: 12

Jets Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 9th 326.6
Points Allowed Per Game: 26th 26.4
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 8th 88
Passing Allowed Per Game: 15th 238.6
Sacks: Tied for 6th 20
Total Turnovers: 3

Week 8 Bills Power Rankings Compilation

After a lucky win against the Vikings lets see what the natty media thinks:

ESPN 16:
"Kyle Orton has two game-winning drives in his three starts this season but running backs Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller will miss time with injuries."

Boring words but a five spot move up

CBS 20:
"At 4-3, they are in the playoff race. But the backfield injuries will hurt."

A lot of running back chatter already this week and little respect paid with a 2 spot leap.

NFL 16:
 "Now that is how you get your first-round draft pick involved, folks. Sure, Sunday's game was bugly (Buffalo ugly). But hey, man -- a win is a win is a win. I got on this team for the manner in which it was able to prevail in Detroit in Week 5 (via some nice, old-fashioned luck), but in the triumph over the Vikings, Kyle Orton -- sans 'stache -- was able to put a couple of throws right where they needed to be. Let's just hope Bryce Brown, Anthony Dixon and whichever Turd Ferguson the Bills sign off the street can provide balance on the ground in the absence of Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller."

A new word! Bugly. It fits.

PFT 14:
"The Bills will face Percy Harvin at the worst possible time — when he’s on his best behavior and without any idea how he’ll be used.:

I'm evidently not the only one a bit scared of Harvin this week. Two spot hop.

Yahoo 15:
"The Bills gave up a fourth-round pick for Bryce Brown, just to have him be inactive for seven weeks. With Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller hurt, we'll get to see if the Bills' investment was actually worth anything."

Lotta running back chatter. Bryce Brown time with a 3 spot leap.

Walterfootball : 22. Buffalo Bills (4-3). Previously: #24

Ouch Walt couldn't even give us a sentence or two this week.

More respect for a 4-3 record this week.  Highest 14 lowest 22.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Week 7 NFL Expert Picks

Steve 15-14-1 Best Bet 4-2
Lions -2 v Saints
Colts -3.5 v Bengals
Bears -3  Dolphins
Titans +5 @ Redskins
Cardinals -4 @ Raiders

Katman 12-16-2 Best Bet 2-4
Ten +6- best bet
Arz -4
Pit -3
Sd -4
Bal -6.5

Wreck  19-11 Best Bet 3-3

Coast 16-13-1 Best Bet 3-3

Friday, October 17, 2014

Vikings at Buffalo Bills Preview Podcast

Steve and Coast review an awful Patriots game yet again and look ahead to Minny

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Week 7 Buffalo Bills Power Rankings Compilation

Lets see what the media thinks about the 3-3 Buffalo Bills:

ESPN 21:
"Revis Island was a lonely place. Sammy Watkins had career lows in catches (two) and targets (three) Sunday, but the Vikings' defense should be good for a bounce-back performance."

Someone watched the game or at least the stats and the schedule. A small three spot drop.

CBS 22:
"The new owner got off to a tough start with a bad home loss. They just aren't good enough to beat the Patriots."

Pegula crack back and a true statement with a three spot drop seems appropriate.

PFT 16:
"So much for the Bills being competitive."
Huh? 21:
"Fielded many complaints about Buffalo being too low in last week's Power Rankings, but the thought here was that the club reached (and knee-jerked) with Kyle Orton -- and, generally, was not playing all that well. Well, the offense does look better with Orton under center. But while I understand gripes about the Bills being lower than the Lions and Bears (both of whom Buffalo beat), both of those teams won in convincing fashion Sunday and are still better at pro football's most important position -- quarterback. What we need to see from Doug Marrone's team is consistency, even if it is just for two games in a row."
You know someone messed up a week ago if you move up a spot after a bad home L.

Yahoo 18:
"Like the Cordarrelle Patterson situation, the Bills are well aware how many touches they give to C.J. Spiller. And at some point, you have to wonder what's wrong with Spiller that the Bills don't want to involve him more."

Good question, I'd add Watkins.

Walterfootball 24:
"What I wrote last week: "I have a feeling that Buffalo fans will be the next group of people to flood my comment board now that the Cincinnati backers have been silenced."

Sure enough, Buffalo backers pounced on the comment board below even though I picked the Bills both in Weeks 5 and 6. Buffalo ended up costing me four units, but the silver lining is that the team's annoying homers can shut up until the team's next bogus victory."

U Mad Bro? Why would you bet on the Bills when you are such a hater?

Highest 16, lowest 24, pretty boring week