Saturday, December 20, 2014

Week 16 NFL Expert Picks

Final 2 weeks of the regular season, let's make some money:

Steve 37-37-1 Best Bet 6-9

Lions @ Bears under 44
Panthers -4 v Browns
Bills @ Raiders under 39.5
Vikings +6 @ Dolphins
Falcons +6.5 @ Saints

Coast 42-31-2 Best Bet 10-5

Patriots -10.5 @ Jets
Bills -7 @ Raiders
Bears +9 v Lions
Seahawks -8 @ Cardinals
Panthers -4 v Browns

Wreck 43-29-3 Best Bet 9-5-1

Jets +10.5 v Patriots
Bears +9 v Lions
 Falcons +6.5 @ Saints
Browns +4 @ Panthers
Raiders +7 v Bills

Katman 40-33-2 Best Bet 8-7

Bills -7 @ Raiders
Lions -9 @ Bears
Dolphins -6 v Vikings
Steelers -3 v Chiefs
Ravens -5.5 @ Texans

Bills at Raiders Stat Preview

by Steve

The Bills roll out to Oakland in a must win game in the heat of a Wild Card battle looking for their first win in this god forsaken place since 1964.  The Bills are giving the most points I can recall ever (they're -7, over under is 39.5) on the road.  Clearly the Oakland Raiders are horrendous but this is the NFL where any given Sunday anyone can win (except the Bills at New England)

The Bills appear to be better than the Raiders in ever facet of the game.  They even have a better head coach which is god damn rare. Interim head coach Tony Sparano should be familiar to all Bills fans.  Wow, just looked it up, Sparano was 5-2 against the Bills in his career.  Holy shit!  The Dolphins were actually 6-2 against the Bills in his four seasons but he was fired the week before the Dolphins came to the Ralph and interim head coach Todd Bowles fuckin won.

This knowledge kinda scares me but it is still rookie Derek Carr vs one of if not these best defenses in the league.  Basically all the Bills have to do to win this game is have Kyle Orton throw zero touchdowns in the wrong direction and not fumble the ball out of the back of either endzone.

The Bills have to win this game and make next week at New England matter.  For christ's sake it can't be that difficult can it?  Doug Marrone has gotten his team up a few times this year when I feared they wouldn't get up (half time v Minny, Bills v Jets at Detroit and the second half v Cleveland).  So I shockingly have some faith in Marrone to have his team ready to trounce these losers.  Prediction at the bottom.

Bills Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 15th
Yards per Game: 23rd
Points per Game: 18th 22
Turnovers: 5th (+10)
3rd Down %: 24th 37%
Passing Yards: 19th 224
Rushing Yards: 24th 98

Raiders Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 25th
Yards per Game: 32nd
Points per Game:  32nd 15
Turnovers: 32nd -16
3rd Down %: 28th 34%
Passing Yards: 24th 210
Rushing Yards: 32nd 74

Bills Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 5th 313
Points Allowed Per Game: 5th 18
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 9th 103
Passing Allowed Per Game: 5th 210
Sacks: 1st 49
Total Turnovers: 30

Raiders Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 18th 354
Points Allowed Per Game: 30th 27
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 25th 125
Passing Allowed Per Game: 8th 228
Sacks: 30th 19
Total Turnovers: 11

Bills win 24-9 zero touchdowns

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Bills at Raiders Preview Podcast

A preview of the Raiders game and a look at the 2014 Buffalo Bills

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Week 16 Bills Power Rankings Compilation

After an epic victory over overrated Aaron Rodgers and the Packers where are the Bills ranked:

ESPN 15 :
"That's how you close out a season at home. The Bills have both remaining games on the road. It could be Buffalo's first season since 2004 with a positive point differential."

Point differential! Huh? A two spot jump not barely ahead of the Dolphins

CBS 15 :
"At 8-6, their playoff hopes are alive. Did they save coach Doug Marrone's job?"

Prisco still questioning Marrone's job stability? Love it, Three spot leap

Yahoo 14:
"(8-6, LW: 16)That was a great win against Green Bay, and this defense is incredible. The Bills might have to win in Week 17 at New England to get in the playoffs, but it's a testament to them that they're still in the conversation."

Oh, good defense!

NFL 13:
 That was a pretty complete win delivered by the Bills on Sunday. Nothing fluky about it. Bacarri Rambo was something special. Rambo made a mockery of a small-town sheriff -- I mean, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense -- proving that nothing is over in Buffalo. You just don't turn it off, either. I fully expect that Bills defense to blow things up in Oakland and New England. # BillsMafia #ColonelTrautman

Wait what?  Did he just predict a win at the Patriots?

PFT  :
 "14. Buffalo Bills (No. 17; 8-6):  They may not make the playoffs, but that signature win over the Packers could save Doug Marrone’s job."

Consensus that it was a big win for Marrone but maybe not his real estate agent

Walterfootball  :
16. Buffalo Bills (8-6). Previously: #17
Still behind the Dolphins?  Ouch Walt

Bills Best Case Scenario for Making Playoffs

Per @drunkorton

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Week 15 NFL Expert Picks

Steve 33-36-1 Best Bet 5-9

Chiefs -10.5 v Raiders
Jaguars +14 @ Ravens
Packers @ Bills under 50.5
Bears +3 v Saints
Bengals +1 @ Browns

Wreck 41-28-1 Best Bet 9-5

49ers +10 @ Seahawks
Packers @ Bills under 50.5
Jaguars +14 @ Ravens
Chargers +4.5 v Broncos
Texans +7 @ Colts

Coast 40-29-1 Best Bet 10-4

Ravens -14 v Jaguars
Colts -7 v Texans
Falcons +3 v Steelers
Bills +5 v Packers
Patriots -8 v Dolphins

Katman 36-32-2 Best Bet 7-7

Patriots -8 v Dolphins
Bills +5 v Packers
Bengals +1 @ Browns
Raiders +10.5 @ Chiefs
Steelers -3 @ Falcons

Friday, December 12, 2014

Packers at Bills Preview

by Steve

Week 15 and the Buffalo Bills are still sorta "in it" vis-a-vis the playoffs.  While that is shocking because the Bills are never in contention for the playoffs it still seems a bit hollow since the Bills chances of actually making the post season is low single digits.  Oh and the QB is a bum the coach is a bust and the Bills may not be favored again this season.

Luckily, the Bills get to play an overrated Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in Buffalo this Sunday.  The Green Bay Packers have never won a game in Buffalo. Granted, the Packers are much more successful than the Bills and have a far superior quarterback but I surprisingly feel pretty confident going into this game at the Ralph.

Yes, Rodgers only has 3 picks this season, is as athletic as any QB and straight slings the rock; but besides one lucky run a few years ago (in which Vick and the Eagles should have beat GB in the Wild Card game) the Packers don't win big games.  Maybe moron Mike McCarthy deserves most of that blame AND Doug Marrone is just as big of a moron but uhhh.  Oh yeah, the Bills defense is legit!  They are the nobody believes in us team!  Even Vegas is realizing this!  The line opened BUF +7 and it is currently down to 5.

As long as the Williams bros, Dareus and Hughes get in A-Rodg's face, don't get run over and Orton can score 27 points the Bills will win.  Or maybe I'm just biased because I never thought Rodgers was that good and he's killing it this year.  We'll see.  Oh and here is a break down of the stats for both teams:

Bills Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 16th
Yards per Game: 22nd
Points per Game: 17th 22
Turnovers: 6th (+9)
3rd Down %: 24th 38%
Passing Yards: 17th 231
Rushing Yards: 25th 96

Packers Offensive Rankings:

Total Plays: 27th
Yards per Game: 6th
Points per Game:  1st  33
Turnovers: 1st +16
3rd Down %: 3rd 49%
Passing Yards: 6th 273
Rushing Yards: 14th 114

Bills Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 5th 312
Points Allowed Per Game: 5th 19
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 8th 99
Passing Allowed Per Game: 5th 213
Sacks: 1st 48
Total Turnovers: 29

Packers Defensive Rankings

Yards Allowed Per Game: 26th 375
Points Allowed Per Game: 18th 23
Rushing Allowed Per Game: 8th 129
Passing Allowed Per Game: 20 245
Sacks: 20th 29
Total Turnovers: 24

I'm going to predict 27-24 Bills
Blue jersey on blue Pants!!!!!